Strong Texas Economy Outlook

The following article comes from the Realestate Center of Texas AM.  Like most list, Texas and Austin are at the top of everyones mind for continued growth and prosperity.


TEXAS POISED TO OUTPACE NATION (AGAIN)

COLLEGE STATION (Real Estate Center) – Texas’ economic outlook for 2012 is positive. Job growth is occurring in several sectors, and a low cost of living is enticing businesses to move to the Lone Star State.

It will be tougher going for the nation, however, because of several factors. The housing market needs to clear a high number of foreclosures. Consumers need to pay off their debt. The banking system needs to write off bad debt. Small businesses need to start hiring again.

Writing for the January issue of Tierra Grande magazine, Real Estate Center Chief Economist Dr. Mark Dotzour says, “Fortunately, Texas is poised to outperform the U.S. averages. Home sales volume in Texas should show modest improvement over 2011, and prices should be stable throughout 2012.” Dotzour’s economic outlook is titled “Texas Sails On: Nation Battles Headwinds.”

Other articles detailing findings from the nation’s largest publicly funded real estate research organization are in the issue scheduled for mailing in late January.

• “Beyond a Reasonable Drought” by noted agricultural expert Dr. Joe Outlaw and Center Research Economist Dr. Charles Gilliland. Farmers, ranchers and service businesses that support them are suffering negative effects of the drought. To make matters worse, federal agricultural programs are on the chopping block to reduce the deficit.
• “The Great Recession: Why Intensity and Duration Varied” by Center Research Economist Dr. Ali Anari. Why did some Texas metros fare better in the Great Recession? Results from the Center’s business cycle research program pinpoint several reasons. These included shares of employment in the government sector, education and health services industry, mining and construction industry, and the metro’s level of educational attainment.
• “Dialing Down Debt: Road to Recovery Begins at Home” by Center Research Analyst Gerald Klassen. It will hurt, but American households will have to liquidate their assets and reduce debt if they want the economy to recover. This means selling luxury items including vacation homes, boats and RVs, as well as selling investments, declaring bankruptcy or suffering through foreclosure.
• “For the Record: When to Toss Old Tax Records” by Center Research Fellow Dr. Jerrold Stern. At a minimum, tax records should be kept three years. However, a period of seven or more years is recommended. Tax and nontax factors play a role in the decision.
• “Vested Rights: Project Protection for Developers” by Houston attorney Reid C. Wilson. Vested rights freeze land use regulations affecting property classification, building size, lot size-dimension-coverage and certain other matters once the owner or developer files a permit application for that project.
• “The Trouble with Troubled Assets” by Center Research Economist Dr. Harold Hunt. The volume of distressed property sales was expected to be much higher by this time. So far, everyone is still waiting. However, according to commercial real estate insiders, distressed sales are on the way up.
• “Terminated: Transfer Fees Outlawed” by Center legal expert Judon Fambrough. Transfer fees, money paid for transferring interest in real property, were implemented in 2007 legislation. Four years later, that law was repealed, prohibiting any future transfer fees and terminating existing fees that do not comply with the new legal requirements.

Texas Jobs

With jobs continuing to be a primary element of the national recovery.  Texas continues to lead the way. Job will also lead to a faster recovery in real estate.

RECON

Real Estate Center Online News

January 3, 2012

Copyright 2012. All rights reserved.

Material herein is published according to the fair-use doctrine of U.S. copyright laws related to non-profit, educational institutions. Items attributed to sources other than the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University should not be reprinted without permission of the original source.

TEXAS' PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GROWTH OUTPACES NATION'S

COLLEGE STATION (Real Estate Center) – Texas gained 227,800 nonfarm jobs from November 2010 to November 2011 according to the Center’s latest Monthly Review of the Texas Economy. That represents an annual growth rate of 2.2 percent compared with 1.2 percent for the United States.

The state’s nongovernment sector grew at an even faster rate, adding 292,700 jobs (3.4 percent) compared with 1.7 percent for the nation’s private sector.

Texas’ seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell to 8.1 percent in November 2011 from 8.3 percent the year before. The nation’s rate decreased from 9.8 to 8.6 percent.

All Texas industries except the information industry and the state’s government sector had more jobs than the same time a year ago. The state’s mining and logging industry ranked first in job creation, followed by the professional and business services industry and the leisure and hospitality industry.

Abilene, Wichita Falls, Killeen-Temple-Fort Hood and College Station-Bryan were the only metro areas that had fewer jobs in November 2011 than in November 2010. Victoria ranked first in job creation followed by Corpus Christi, McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Lubbock and Laredo.

The state’s actual unemployment rate in November 2011 was 7.5 percent. Midland had the lowest unemployment rate followed by Amarillo, Odessa, Lubbock and San Angelo.

Increased Interest in Your House

Design Hazards: 10 ways to increase interest in your house

Roger Hazard, Design Hazards

 

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Even in relatively healthy real estate markets, the average length of time houses spent on the market has increased. If the "for sale" sign has been in your front yard longer than you had hoped, don't despair. Instead, consider one or more of the following 10 quick fixes to catch the eye of buyers.
Get information on your home.It can be difficult to get valuable feedback on your home if you haven't had any showings lately. Have an open house for friends, and place index cards, pens and a shoebox near the front door. Ask them to write down — anonymously — any negative issues they see with the home. It might not be for the faint of heart, but the feedback can be priceless.
Kill odors, then introduce appealing scents. Every home has trapped odors that build up over time in upholstery, drapes and carpets. The winter is a perfect time to have these professionally cleaned. Instead of harsh plug-ins, use essential oils — rosemary is a good choice — and drip sparingly on your carpets.
Maximize light. There isn't much daylight during the winter months. Make the most of it by removing bug screens, which can substantially reduce the amount of sunlight allowed in through your windows. Be sure to give your windows a good cleaning. After a dry summer, they're likely covered with a fine coating of dust; removing this will bring in more light and make the windows look newer.
Declutter ... again.I know, you've already decluttered your home. That's what everyone says. But take another serious look at each room. Can you do without out-of-season clothes? What about the rarely used kitchen gadgets on the counter? Every home buyer is hungry for more space. Demonstrate that your house has sufficient counter, storage and closet space by packing up nonessential items and clearing them out.
Get your home preinspected and address any issues now.By working with an inspector in advance, you can get a jump on any potential red flags that might scare away serious buyers. You'll have a chance to tackle these repairs proactively and will have time to shop around for affordable service providers. Be sure to keep detailed records on the repairs you've completed to present to prospective buyers.
Offer an allowance.If there are more significant repairs needed to your home, or if there are functional but dated features ready for replacement, consider offering an incentive such as an allowance toward repairs to be deducted from the sale price at closing.
Spruce up your yard for winter.Curb appeal is important. Now that we've actually received a bit of rain, some yards can look better than they have in months. Take care of your end-of-year pruning to keep plants looking tidy. Bring back the green in your lawn by seeding it with rye grass. Add color with winter flowering plants like pansies.
Hire a professional.Bring in a professional interior designer or home stager for a one-hour consultation. Ask them to assess your home and offer their recommendations for quick, do-it-yourself fixes. Their feedback will give you confidence that you're focusing on changing the right elements and will include specific information on which colors and finishes will work best.
Freshen your online listing.In the past, I've discussed the importance of quality photography. Now might be a good time to consider hiring a professional to take some new photos. If you have unique details or fixtures, mix in some close-up and vignette shots with your whole-room photos so prospective buyers see charming details that make your home stand out. Be sure to rotate around your photos, replacing older ones with new shots. Your home's first photo — the one that most buyers will see as they scroll through a list of houses — needs special attention.
Reduce the price.If your home has been on the market for three to six months with no offers, it's time to consider a price reduction. There's some debate as to whether Austin is a buyer's market or a seller's market, but the fact is that buyers are less frenzied in their attempts to snatch up properties than they were a few years ago. With many buyers adopting a wait-and-see approach, a price reduction might convince them to move.
Home staging expert Roger Hazard of A&E's "Sell This House" offers design tips in the monthly column Design Hazards. Have design hazards of your own? Send him your home design, landscaping, and staging questions at www.roger
hazard.com.

WE DID IT! Keller Williams moves to Second Largest

AUSTIN, TEXAS (March 8, 2011) - Keller Williams® Realty Inc., announced today that it is now the second-largest real estate franchise in the United States based on the total number of sales professionals, surpassing Century 21, according to research conducted by REAL Trends, a leading source of analysis and information in the residential real estate industry. The company claimed the number two spot with 77,672 U.S. –based associates at the end of 2010, just two years after claiming the number three spot from RE/MAX® International.
“Once again, this milestone achievement is a direct result of the dedication of our associates and the stability and profitability of the Keller Williams business models,” said Mark Willis, CEO of Keller Williams

Realty, Inc. “It’s incredible to see the momentum that our associates and our offices have right now.” This news comes one week after the announcement of positive growth by the company at their annual convention in Anaheim. Including its presence in Canada, Keller Williams closed the year with 79,315 associates and 701 market centers (offices). At the convention, Willis also shared that Keller Williams associate profit share was up 7.2 percent, with its agents receiving $34.6 million dollars back in 2010. Despite industry contraction, Keller Williams associates across North America also showed significant percentage gains in listings taken (+13%), contracts closed volume (+9%) and contracts closed units (+6%).
The company also formed Keller Williams Worldwide with Chris Heller as president, citing plans for global expansion, with plans to grow the division by an additional 75,000 associates in 10 years. “Our goals are to expand the Keller Williams Realty model—with the focus on training and our sound business models.” said Chris Heller, president of KW Worldwide. “And, when looking for the right country and business partners in planning for expansion, we will not sacrifice the perfect fit with our mission, vision and the KW culture, those are absolutely necessary.”
Despite the sharp downturn in the real estate market, since 2005 Keller Williams Realty has grown 30 percent in agents, 40 percent in market centers, 21 percent in closed units and 11 percent in closed GCI.

Keller Williams Realty received many accolades in 2010 including:

• Entrepreneur magazine, No. 1 ranked real estate franchise on the 31st Annual Franchise 500 list.

• J.D. Power and Associates, highest in overall satisfaction ratings from home buyers among the largest full-service real estate firms for the third year in a row

• Inman News, Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board Gary Keller named one of the 100 Most Influential Leaders in Real Estate.

• Training Magazine, highest ranking real estate franchise on the annual Training Top 25 125, #47 overall.
“It is such an honor to be a part of a company with such dedicated and driven people,” said Mary Tennant, president and COO of Keller Williams Realty. “Our associates are setting the pace in the industry. It is truly an exciting time to be in real estate and to be a part of the Keller Williams family.”

Exciting News at ESCONDIDO

Bob Dudley, from Escondido, guest posting. 

While the economic downturn has slowed many markets in the Hill Country, here on-site, sales of individual lots and available residences have continued and Escondido has reached a welcome point of community maturity, as well as a very stable position based on Member growth and with new Equity participation.

Here are some of the exciting events, new offerings and announced happenings that will soon be taking place in the Escondido community:





New Dining Room



1. Our Clubhouse facility is near completion and with the final addition of furnishings and enhancing the Spa, Fitness and Dining amenities, it should be fully operational, by July 4th. The stunning structure will be getting a further $4.6m of additions and improvements between now and its opening.

2. The new Equity Partnership has announced plans to be investing a further $10m to $12m of capital in Escondido to complete the full compliment of promised amenities, add new ones and fulfill Escondido’s Founding Vision – to be the Best 2nd Residence and Getaway Community in Texas. Members approved this by a send-in Vote of 343 to 1. Closing on the Equity Partnership transaction is set for March 18, 2011.

3. A Residence Center offering is in the planning, with elegantly furnished and appointed one, two and four bedroom unit shares to be sold. These will provide for the combination of superb on-property accommodations with full membership privileges, while in residence. Share owners, their families and guests will be able to partake of Escondido’s recreational and lifestyle option.


4. Escondido’s Fazio Course enjoys a reputation as one of the Southwest’s better courses and amongst the finest of member clubs. Our Lake Club on a cove off Lake LBJ is known to be one of the premier pool and cabana sites in the country. Come learn about the plans to enhance these amenities and construct new ones, with a focus on new choices for families and children.


5. Southern Living Magazine selected the Escondido community and its architect, Michael Imber, to design, build and then host their very popular annual presentation of an Idea Home, for 2011. Ten to fifteen thousand visitors are expected to visit the Escondido community during the sixty day preview period, during the coming summer. We have properties starting at $195,000 in our Village area, fabulous, Estate lots by the golf course from $235,000 as well as prime well-treed golf fairway sites starting at under $400,000., large 4 bedroom residences starting at $1.25m and waterside lots with boat dock rights starting in the $700’s.

6. March 1st, some additional assets will be transferred to the non-profit Club Corporation, owned by Escondido’s Members. The value of an Escondido membership, one comes with each property purchase, will then rise to a new defined value level of $120,000. The maturity and stability of the Escondido Club and community are manifested in these escalating figures of the defined Escondido Membership value, since 2004. Some will act to become Member’s before values rise again, with the scheduled transfer of the Clubhouse assets, later in 2011.

7. There are several residences currently under construction, with several additional construction starts scheduled over the next ninety days. The infrastructure is nearly complete for our Lago Escondido community, one residence with stunning multiple water views is nearing completion on the Lago site with three more new homes in various stages of construction on this lovely Big Water sited community. Investments in the erection of second and primary homes in Escondido are but further evidence of the stable position that Escondido has reached. We have a wonderful variety of property for sale with a variety of fairway, creek-side, big-water or a lower maintenance smaller Villa or Casita sites available for purchase, some at economical price points.

Bob was kind enough to share photos.  Check out my web site or Facebook page for more.

Current REAL ESTATE Market Anaylsis, Horseshoe Bay, Marble Falls, & Meadowlakes

The months of March through October are usually our highest volume sales in the Highland Lakes of the Texas Hill Country. A quick analysis for the previous twelve months’ home & lot sales for Horseshoe Bay, Marble Falls, & Meadowlakes (my primary market area) might be of interest. I’ve prepared spreadsheets that sort Oct. 2009 to Oct. 2010 sales by city, by category, & in some cases, by subdivision. If you'd like copies, just send me an e-mail: JanLBusse@Gmail.com & I'll gladly share. My current listing clients get these regularly.

If you compare this year versus last year, our quantity of sales are almost flat. Anecdotally, however, my buyers seem to be asking two very important questions they were not asking before:

1. What's the best DEAL (value) for the money regardless of price, category, or location
2. How much more can I get if I move my price point UP to the next "xxx" number of dollars

During the 2008-2009 sales year, our market sold almost exclusively houses under $300,000 and over $1million. This year, we see the BEGINNING of mid-level ranged houses selling again. Yes, they must be great prices, exceptional properties, or exceptional values -- HOWEVER THEY ARE SELLING AGAIN.

• “Single Family & Condos Sold” are heavily weighted toward NEW construction, regardless of city or category.
• Most buyers resist remodels in our market, especially when new homes are available at reasonable prices, so older home sales have been hardest hit. Subsequently, they may also be the biggest opportunity for bargain hunters.
• Until recently, there have been a number of new construction foreclosures on the market, which drove down prices even further. This is especially true for condos & townhomes
• Today, there are fewer “single family, distressed” properties available & I don't foresee many more showing up in this category any time soon.
• Condos, especially “The Waters,” may see still more foreclosures this year
• Golf course homes, which were also very slow selling have begun to see activity again, especially in new construction & higher end houses (those asking over $500,000)
• Another surprise for our market, is “Waterfront Single Family Home Sales” have slowed, while inventory is very high. There are currently 88 waterfront homes listed in our MLS as “for sale” in our three cities.
• My OPINION is that there are fewer motivated sellers in that category
• The oil business has settled down to a more normal level of business, & in TEXAS, oil related businesses supply an unfair share of our highest end buyers
• Currently there are only 2 waterfront condos listed as “pending” in our MLS
• Currently NO waterfront houses are ”pending” in our MLS.

Regarding home sales, the market seems to be holding its own or even trending up, based on price points paid this year versus last year.Whereas two years ago buyers were not buying at all, today there are qualified buyers, looking for bargains in most all categories.

When buyers ask me where the best STEALS are, without fail, I tell them "buy dirt!" Lot sales have been almost non-existent in the previous 12 months, & they show no immediate signs of improving. Serious discounts are available!!!

• Savvy investors are beginning to inquire regarding lots again thanks to the news about the new county hospital & the recent positive changes at Escondido & Skywater
• Builder’s profits are greatly affected by land costs, so those that can bank property are looking for particular bargains.
• From talking to several Austin & San Antonio builders, I’ve been told the land costs there are rising again, so I believe our market will soon be viewed as the GREAT VALUE it is.
• Until most of our newer construction single family inventory is sold, land sales will like stay very slow unless sellers are willing to provide deep discounts to buyers
• It is often cheaper to buy pre-existing new construction than to build new
  

Every month, I prepare spreadsheets & average the sales numbers by category. Everyone understands the averages are arbitrary. Trying to compare locations, finish outs, age of the homes, etc, is impossible. But one very important average struck me: in almost every instance, the average percentage paid for a property, compared to seller's asking price was 92% to 95%.

Today, when there are so many bottom feeders, sellers are afraid to drop their asking prices close to what they'll actually take, but they NEED TO RE-THINK THIS STRATEGY.

If the price has too much negotiating room, buyers won't make an offer, but go where they think they can negotiate with someone who's more motivated and/or realistic.

Overall, I would not say the immediate future is rosy for sellers. It remains weighted heavily for buyers, but overall sales seem to be trending slowly up. There ARE many buyers willing to purchase if the value is strong enough. It's not strictly about PRICE, but the VALUE must be apparent in every transaction.

How to Protest Your Tax Valuations

Llano Central Appraisal District (LCAD) mailed over 12,000 notices of increased appraised values to property owners this week. If you are one of the 12,000, there is a process in place that allows you to PROTEST INCREASED VALUATIONS. In anticipation of the protests, Texas Comptroller Susan Combs has prepared a video about protest procedures.

In light of our slow real estate market for 2009, a comparative market analysis (CMA) done by a real estate professional could help you verify the appreciation your county is claiming or help you make the case that county records are not thorough enough to support the increase. I highly recommend you CONTACT YOUR REALTOR for a CMA of the property & market in question.

As I explained in last week's blog, if you purchased a new property during 2009 and paid less than the county's appraised value, usually all they require to change the valuation is a copy of your closing statement (also known as a HUD statement) from the title company.

In order to preserve an objection to the district’s valuaton, a taxpayer must file a formal protest within 30 days of the date the appraisal notice was mailed, which will be June 4, 2010 in Llano County. Burnet County mailed its notices on April 30, so protests are due by June 1, 2010 for Burnet County property owners.

Texas state law requires notice sent to an owner whose value increased by more than $1,000 from tax year 2009 to tax year 2010. LCAD sent 19,000 notices of increased valuations last year. If you own property in Llano County and did not receive a notice of appraised value in the past week, then your property has not significantly increased in value, and your tax liability will not increase for 2010.

The county sets appraised value from two components — the value of the land and the value of any improvements on the land. State law requires appraisal districts to appraise property at 100% of its market value. However, after application of factors such as agriculture use, homestead caps, and exemptions such as homestead & over 65, many property owners pay ad valorem taxes on a reduced valuation.

Taxpayers who disagree with the appraised valuation of their property can contact the appraisal district for an informal review which is typically a discussion with a district appraiser who can provide information about comparable sales and how the district arrived at the value.
LLano County Website
Burnet County Website